A manufacturing company is considering implementing an AI solution to optimize its supply chain.

Within the PMI-CPMAI framework, determining whether AI is necessary begins with assessing whether the problem actually requires cognitive capabilities, such as pattern recognition, prediction, anomaly detection, probabilistic reasoning, or optimization beyond traditional rule-based or statistical methods. PMI defines this diagnostic step as “evaluating the cognitive load of the task and identifying where AI adds value beyond conventional automation.” The guidance emphasizes that AI should only be deployed when the task involves complexity, variability, or uncertainty that exceeds the capabilities of deterministic or non-AI solutions.

According to PMI-CPMAI’s “AI Readiness and Use Case Evaluation” section, the first step in determining the appropriateness of AI is to “identify what cognitive functions are required—classification, prediction, inference, or decision support—and map these capabilities to specific pain points in the business process.” This ensures the organization is not adopting AI simply because it is available, but because it is the correct technical solution for the operational challenge. PMI stresses that AI is justified only when “the task demands learning from data patterns or making context-aware decisions with minimal human intervention.”

Although scalability (B) and cost-benefit analysis (C) are important later-stage considerations, they do not answer the fundamental question of whether AI is needed at all. Option D, distinguishing noncognitive and AI methods, is supportive but not sufficient without explicitly identifying the cognitive tasks AI would perform.