A supply manager is part of a ramp-up team for a new product line.

A supply manager is part of a ramp-up team for a new product line. The supply manager's role will include finding and evaluating new sources and obtaining commitments to support the volume projected by marketing. In recent campaigns, sales forecasts have been considerably higher than actual demand, and the supply manager wants to minimize the risk of such a situation happening again. Which of the following arguments made by the supply manager will MOST likely influence the team to re-examine product launch expectations?