A chemical company has developed several machine learning (ML) solutions to identify chemical process abnormalities.

The metrics that will indicate an ML solution that will provide the greatest probability of detecting an abnormality are precision and recall. Precision is the ratio of true positives (TP) to the total number of predicted positives (TP + FP), where FP is false positives. Recall is the ratio of true positives (TP) to the total number of actual positives (TP + FN), where FN is false negatives. A high precision means that the ML solution has a low rate of false alarms, while a high recall means that the ML solution has a high rate of true detections. For the chemical company, the goal is to avoid process abnormalities, which are marked as 1 in the labels. Therefore, the company needs an ML solution that has a high recall for the positive class, meaning that it can detect most of the abnormalities and minimize the false negatives. Among the four options, option B has the highest recall for the positive class, which is 0.98. This means that the ML solution can detect 98% of the abnormalities and miss only 2%. Option B also has a reasonable precision for the positive class, which is 0.61. This means that the ML solution has a false alarm rate of 39%, which may be acceptable for the company, depending on the cost and benefit analysis. The other options have lower recall for the positive class, which means that they have higher false negative rates, which can be more detrimental for the company than false positive rates.

1: AWS Certified Machine Learning - Specialty Exam Guide

2: AWS Training - Machine Learning on AWS

3: AWS Whitepaper - An Overview of Machine Learning on AWS

4: Precision and recall